# Bitcoin — X 热门讨论 (2026-10-02 14:13 UTC)
## @Crypto__Haris (Crypto with Haris ₿) · 10-02 10:52 · ♥314 ↻54 💬176 Don’t get excited by fake $BTC pumps.
Bitcoin will dump to $60k this month. https://t.co/a7zB73uNdb https://x.com/Crypto__Haris/status/2105974193821221347
## @realsinya (Sinya 李新野) · 10-02 12:39 · ♥406 ↻54 💬29 过去50年最伟大的两篇科研论文是 Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System 和 Attention is All You Need。都不是来自学术圈。现在所谓的学术圈几乎都是骗政府经费的混子，和学术发现基本没有关系。 https://x.com/realsinya/status/2106001158733234421
## @TechCharts (Aksel Kibar, CMT) · 10-02 12:35 · ♥341 ↻26 💬15 $BTC Polarity principle. Previous resistance becomes the new support. Successful re-test. https://t.co/z586ogL77H > 引用 @TechCharts: $BTC still holding the 82.8K. Needs to move away from the support area for confirmed breakout. https://t.co/zoGa39Qv2T https://x.com/TechCharts/status/2106000234845499848
## @ColeMacro (Matt Cole) · 10-02 11:36 · ♥303 ↻39 💬11 In a Bitcoin bull market, the engine driving Total Returns is Amplification Ratio. Fastest horse requirements:
1. High current Amplification Ratio 2. Ability to replenish Amplification Ratio as BTC rises (liquidity) 3. Zero BTC upside sold for Amplification
That's the game. > 引用 @ColeMacro: This matrix explains one of the most important concepts in Bitcoin treasury strategy: amplification ratio is what drives total returns. Over 99% of the variation in modeled total returns shown here is driven by amplification ratio. Cost of capital matters far less than investors realize.
Strive’s objective is to outperform Bitcoin by maximizing total returns for common shareholders. Our base case is that Bitcoin compounds at roughly 50% annually through 2030, but the principle applies more broadly. If any Bitcoin bull thesis plays out, building and sustaining a high amplification ratio will be the most important determinant of success. That is why we spent the bear market intentionally building liquidity, earning investor trust in SATA and Strive, deepening our access to capital, and building the foundation required to support a high amplification ratio at scale.
Maintaining amplification as Bitcoin compounds will require increasingly large amounts of capital and sustained investor trust, and will be extraordinarily difficult to achieve. If possible, I would like to bring Strive’s amplification ratio above 60% later this year. If our warrants exercise over the next few weeks, getting there will require elite execution from our team. It becomes even more difficult if Bitcoin rallies further. I believe our team can achieve that goal, and that Strive is uniquely positioned to sustain a high amplification ratio at scale. The math tells you what matters, and our strategy follows the math.
If I were analyzing Strive as a Bitcoin bull seeking to amplify Bitcoin returns, these are the questions I would be asking: What is Strive’s current amplification ratio? What are our goals for amplification? And to achieve those goals, do we have the capital access, liquidity and investor trust required to maintain a high amplification ratio throughout a bull market? There is real alpha in understanding the answers to those questions. Study the matrix carefully. https://x.com/ColeMacro/status/2105985370471231894
## @bitcoinlfgo (BITCOINLFG®) · 10-02 11:54 · ♥315 ↻32 💬11 HUGEEE 💥
BLACKROCK & OTHER ETFs JUST BOUGHT $102.67 MILLION WORTH OF #BITCOIN! 🔥
INSTITUTIONS ARE LOADING UP! 🚀 https://t.co/tQ9KebSEFT https://x.com/bitcoinlfgo/status/2105989761991426180
## @BobLoukas (Bob Loukas 🗽) · 10-02 13:17 · ♥325 ↻14 💬31 Newbies and inexperienced traders/investors are so fixated on predictions that they have no idea what to do when the 50% of cases where they're wrong shows up.
“But you said it was going to do #A and it didn’t.”
Well yeah. I also said it could do #B, and sometimes #C. Didn’t you plan or position for those outcomes too?
Bitcoin recently is a good example. It didn’t follow through on my preferred path, which is just the one I thought was more likely. But so what? I still bought back a good amount at $64k after going 100% cash at $94k (avg), because guess what, option #B possibility was gaining traction.
That’s the point. It’s not about the prediction. Your social clout does not build your portfolio.
Sadly, most inexperienced players can’t even make money when their prediction comes true because they’re so consumed with being right that they never properly think about positioning, risk, or what they’ll do next.
“Oh, so you’re just covering every base. Could go up, could go down.”
No shit. That’s exactly the point.
I don’t want to be surprised. I want to be positioned to get the best possible outcome across all viable scenarios.
Stop becoming so attached to one idea that you get trapped inside it. Think and trade in possibilities, be early enough and push harder when an outcome becomes clear.
Yes, you’ll give up some upside to maintain that flexibility. That’s the cost. But you’ll still participate when you’re right and you’ll be protected when the market chooses one of the other paths.
The goal isn’t to predict but be prepared to capture. https://x.com/BobLoukas/status/2106010692910219605
## @PowerHasheur (Hasheur) · 10-02 08:59 · ♥305 ↻8 💬10 👀 encore un petit effort https://t.co/8w3X7MYMCD https://x.com/PowerHasheur/status/2105945746788786189